Have you heard the latest theory? The one about 15-minute cities? Yes, that’s right, the phrase coined by Professor Carlos Moreno has become the latest cause célèbre for a group of people looking for evidence that an indeterminate “they” are doing everything they can to deprive citizens of their hard-earned freedoms.

With lockdowns and vaccines in the rear-view mirror, attention has turned to an urban planning concept that barely features on the radar of the average citizen.

According to this group, the concept is the latest evidence of the World Economic Forum’s Great Reset. Lockdowns, zero carbon initiatives and concepts like the 15-minute city are the tools used to surreptitiously ease the world towards an Orwellian dystopia in which a citizen’s every move is restricted and monitored.

Nick Fletcher, Conservative MP for the UK constituency of Don Valley summed it up when he asked, in the House of Commons, for a debate on the “international socialist concept of so-called 15-minute cities”, sparking coverage on a litany of right-leaning broadcast and print publications around the world.

Hot off the heels of that intervention, an unknown number of people attended the Stop Oxford: no 15 Minute Cities rally, held this weekend in one of the UK’s great university cities.

Their primary motive was to campaign against the installation of Low Traffic Neighbourhoods (LTN) in Oxford, in which so called “model filters” are installed to prevent vehicles from cutting through residential roads to getting from A to B.

Often camera controlled, a vehicle passing through a filter without permission will be fined. This means through traffic on the roads within the LTN reduces significantly which, it is argued, improves air quality and creates an environment much more conducive for active forms of transport, such as walking, wheeling, and cycling.

The campaigners against these interventions argue they do not achieve their objectives, instead they constitute a power grab by the state to undermine the freedom of the individual. There are those that argue the network of cameras rolled out for LTNs and the push towards 15-minute cities are part of an effort to set up the infrastructure to make control of the population much easier. 

Among those who spoke in Oxford were Laurence Fox, the actor turned political activist who has campaigned against “woke culture” and “political correctness” and was a leading voice in the campaign against lockdowns in UK during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic.

However, Fox was outshone by the campaign’s Child Freedom Ambassador Jasmine, a young girl whose rousing and articulate speech has been viewed nearly a million times on Twitter.

Jasmine claimed Europe was entering the beginnings of a “Chinafication” process in preparation for a social credits system, and that 15-minute neighbourhoods would soon become digital ID facial recognition zones.

The emergency of this topic as a source of contention has followed the populist playbook to the letter. Hyperbole, exaggeration, dogma and, occasionally, conspiracy take on enhanced roles in the discourse, at the expense of evidence.

High profile personalities amplify that discourse and suddenly a fringe set of views are elevated to a central role in public debate. LTNs in the UK are a classic example of this. As more evidence is published to demonstrate the positive impact they have in reducing vehicular traffic and improving air quality, the discourse has moved on to claiming they are turning neighbourhoods into prisons, and Britain into China.

To take it back to the concept itself, the 15-minute city is a simple one – the services and amenities you need for day-to-day life should reside within a 15-minute walk or cycle from your front door.

When adopted, this concept frames urban planning policy and, in theory, leads to reduced pollution and better health within a community, as people need to complete fewer journeys vehicle. That is not to say the vehicle is redundant. There is still a need for vehicular journeys and there will always be groups that rely on cars to get around, but the overall quantum of vehicular traffic declines.

In practical terms, major cities have made strides to realising this vision, with the likes of the Netherlands and Denmark leading the way (it is no coincidence the likes of The Hague and Copenhagen feature highly in any quality of life index you can view). Efforts are also being pursued in Australia’s major cities.

Australia’s targets are to grow active transport

In Queensland, the target is for one in five trips to be done by walking and cycling by 2026. In Victoria and NSW, efforts to install new cycleways are underway as part of ambitious long-term plans to have more journeys completed by active modes of transport.

To the policy makers and advocates, get prepared with the messaging and evidence you need to make the calm, rational case for active transport interventions

The momentum in Australia seems to be behind measures to encourage walking and cycling but this cannot be taken for granted. The pushback in the UK will not be isolated, and it is inevitable that the networks that have globalised various culture wars will do so here.

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To the policy makers and advocates, get prepared with the messaging and evidence you need to make the calm, rational case for active transport interventions.  Remember the evidence is on the side of those who back active transport initiatives, and no amount of mischaracterisation can change the fact the 15-minute city is about improving lives, not controlling them.

While the 15-minute city might be giving 15 minutes of fame to its opponents, the concept, and the interventions made in its name, will continue to improve lives well beyond the lifespan of the current attention it is being given.


Oliver Deed

Managing Director

ECF

Oliver Deed is the Managing Director of ECF, a community engagement consultancy working on active transport and built environment projects in London and Sydney. More by Oliver Deed


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  1. Australia’s population is being undemocratically engineered upwards via mass migration. If the incumbent population were allowed to choose its destiny, based on trends, there would be a gentle decline and this would go much further to helping with carbon emissions, not to mention a host of other environmental and logistical problems. The 15 minute city amounts, in fact, to an insidious planning control of people as they are forced to squeeze in for the profit of a few – most connected to the carbon intenstive construction industry and those industries upstream and downstream. Furthermore, none of this is going to help while we continue to support continuous carbon emitting wars and growth economics.

  2. Interesting eyeroll of an article (the conspiracy element). The Conversation also covered this recently.

    I don’t know about the specifics of UK (beyond your article) but with most of these initiatives there is a consultation – submission period. ?For example, through client work in Australia I am aware of the National Road Safety Strategy, as no doubt you are given your specialising in active transport.
    https://www.roadsafety.gov.au/sites/default/files/documents/National-Road-Safety-Strategy-2021-30.pdf

    The approach is about Movement and Place and defines 5 areas from People Precincts through to Motorways and proposes purpose of those places and types of vehicles / suitable speed. It’s geared at reducing our road toll to Zero deaths by 2050.

    There were 110 submissions to this strategy.
    https://www.officeofroadsafety.gov.au/nrss/submissions

    I think this isn’t necessarily a platform that politicians campaign on. It’s a global initiative and part of a UN SDGS (sustainable transport) and WHO, the lead agency for road safety in the United Nations.

    2/3rds of Pedestrians killed in Australia are killed by vehicles going less than 60km (so mostly in our cities.). There is a big movement across Europe for greater pedestrian protection, which at some point will be adopted in Australia as we are UN signatories. https://sgesco.com.au/pedestrian-protection-regulations/

  3. I think you may be missing the point that many citizens are extremely concerned that they are not being asked about what they want, and are not being involved in the process of setting up these drastic changes. Rather than complaining about them, maybe one could be talking to them? Especially if it is supposed to be for their benefit. I think many are also very nervous about the idea of being constantly surveilled and kept in check through punishments. It doesn’t create a great sense of trust in authorities, especially if these ideas weren’t on the table when councillors were up for election. I hope you can see what I mean.

    1. Hi H, I think that is a perfectly set of fair observations and I agree with much of it. I agree that dialogue would be good, although I fear some people attending this type of event are so far down the rabbit hole that it would be fruitless. The tone of the rhetoric at the rally did not suggest a receptiveness to a constructive exchange of views.

      In an ideal world, all these types of interventions would be the subject of extensive engagement before they are implemented. In England some local authorities have implemented plans under Experimental Traffic Orders (ETOs), without any prior consultation, and I don’t think that has been good practice. Most authorities will outline their approach in relevant policy documentation, but the engagement around those documents can be quite poor which means local people don’t have a huge amount of awareness of where these interventions are coming from. Improving this will be important moving forward.

      In terms of democratic accountability, I would argue that the 2022 local elections in London represented a good test of how popular these policies were. In local authorities where lots of interventions have been rolled out (Waltham Forest, Enfield, Haringey being among them), the administrations were returned with healthy majorities despite quite strong campaigning from opposition groups on LTNs in particular. It seems like when these interventions are tested at the ballot box, they tend to be popular.

      Thanks for your comment.

    2. I’m in Canada
      There popping up simultaneously all over the world with little to no coverage and people are not concerned? Anytime the Gov does anything ” for the betterment of the people” it’s not in most cases. Here we already have everything within walking biking distance if you dont live in a rural farm area. If people are sick they wont be taking a bike anyway to see a dr. If you go grocery shopping people are going to drive . People should be concerned